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Burnley v Arsenal prediction

Sat 1 Nov, 15:00 Premier League Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Arsenal to win 70%
Burnley 11% Draw 19% Arsenal 70%
Best price1.27 Marathonbet Fair price1.42 from our 70%

How we got to 70%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 77%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 60%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 70%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games L W W
1–2 at AVL 2–0 v LEE 3–2 at WOL
Arsenal All games W W
1–0 at FUL 1–0 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes39% Both teams scored in 0 of Burnley's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Arsenal's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawArsenal
Marathonbet 13.50 5.85 1.27
WilliamHill 13.00 5.50 1.22
Ladbrokes 13.00 5.75 1.25
bet365 13.00 6.25 1.22
Betfair 12.00 6.00 1.18
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Arsenal: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Arsenal in the Premier League on Saturday 1 November, and Arsenal won 0–2 away from home.

Burnley are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 6 points from a possible 9. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Arsenal are in strong form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 2, 6 points from a possible 6. They have scored 2 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 13.50 for Burnley, 6.25 for the draw and 1.27 for Arsenal. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 77% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 70% chance. The market puts it at 77% and our match model at 60%, and blending those with recent form gives 70%. The best price, 1.27 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 1.42. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.