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Liverpool v Aston Villa prediction

Sat 1 Nov, 20:00 Premier League Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Liverpool to win 54%
Liverpool 54% Draw 22% Aston Villa 24%
Best price1.68 Marathonbet Fair price1.84 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Liverpool All games L L
1–2 v MUN 2–3 at BRE
Aston Villa All games W W W
2–1 v BUR 2–1 at TOT 1–0 v MCI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes62% Both teams scored in 1 of Liverpool's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Aston Villa's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLiverpoolDrawAston Villa
Marathonbet 1.68 4.30 4.90
WilliamHill 1.65 4.00 4.60
Ladbrokes 1.65 4.20 4.60
bet365 1.61 4.50 4.50
Betfair 1.55 4.25 4.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Liverpool v Aston Villa: prediction and result

Liverpool hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday 1 November and won 2–0.

Liverpool are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 2, 0 points from a possible 6. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Brentford.

Aston Villa are in strong form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 3, 9 points from a possible 9. They have scored 5 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Manchester City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.68 for Liverpool, 4.50 for the draw and 4.90 for Aston Villa. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.68 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 1.84. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.