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Birmingham City v Millwall prediction

Tue 4 Nov, 19:45 Championship Full time 4–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Birmingham City to win 54%
Birmingham 54% Draw 26% Millwall 20%
Best price1.75 Marathonbet Fair price1.84 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Birmingham City All games L W L W
2–3 v HUL 1–0 at PNE 0–1 at BSC 4–0 v PTM
Millwall All games W W W D
2–1 at QPR 2–0 v STK 1–0 v LEI 2–2 at OXF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 1 of Birmingham City's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Millwall's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBirminghamDrawMillwall
Ladbrokes 1.75 3.60 4.60
Marathonbet 1.75 3.50 4.65
WilliamHill 1.75 3.40 4.60
Betfair 1.73 3.40 4.60
bet365 1.72 3.50 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Birmingham City v Millwall: prediction and result

Birmingham City hosted Millwall in the Championship on Tuesday 4 November and won 4–0.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 4, 6 points from a possible 12. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win at home to Portsmouth.

Millwall are in strong form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 4, 10 points from a possible 12. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Oxford United.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Birmingham, 3.60 for the draw and 4.75 for Millwall. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.75 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 1.84. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.