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Oxford United v Stoke City prediction

Tue 4 Nov, 19:45 Championship Full time 0–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Stoke City to win 38%
Oxford 33% Draw 29% Stoke 38%
Best price2.33 Marathonbet Fair price2.64 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 34%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStoke City to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Oxford United All games W L W D
1–0 v DRB 0–1 at WXH 2–1 at SHF 2–2 v MLW
Stoke City All games W L W W
1–0 v WXH 0–2 at MLW 1–0 at PTM 5–1 v BSC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 1 of Oxford United's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Stoke City's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerOxfordDrawStoke
bet365 3.20 3.25 2.30
Marathonbet 3.02 3.20 2.33
Ladbrokes 3.00 3.30 2.30
WilliamHill 3.00 3.20 2.30
Betfair 2.90 3.10 2.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Oxford United v Stoke City: prediction and result

Oxford United hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Tuesday 4 November, and Stoke City won 0–3 away from home.

Oxford United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 7 points from a possible 12. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Millwall.

Stoke City are in strong form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 9 points from a possible 12. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 5–1 win at home to Bristol City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Oxford, 3.30 for the draw and 2.33 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Stoke City favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stoke City to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 34%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.33 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 2.64. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.