How we got to 43%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Derby County
All games
L
W
W
W
Hull City
All games
W
W
D
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersDerby County v Hull City: prediction and result
Derby County hosted Hull City in the Championship on Tuesday 4 November and won 2–1.
Derby County are in strong form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 9 points from a possible 12. They have scored 5 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Sheffield United.
Hull City are in strong form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 4, 10 points from a possible 12. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Norwich City.
The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Derby, 3.30 for the draw and 3.40 for Hull. The bookmakers make Derby County favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.15 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.32. The pick won.
More Championship predictions
All Championship picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.