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Leicester City v Middlesbrough prediction

Tue 4 Nov, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Leicester City to win 42%
Leicester 42% Draw 26% Middlesbrough 31%
Best price2.15 Ladbrokes Fair price2.35 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLeicester City to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leicester City All games D L L L
1–1 v PTM 1–2 at HUL 0–1 at MLW 0–2 v BBR
Middlesbrough All games W W D L
2–1 v IPS 1–0 at SHF 1–1 v WXH 0–3 at WAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 1 of Leicester City's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Middlesbrough's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeicesterDrawMiddlesbrough
Ladbrokes 2.15 3.50 3.20
Marathonbet 2.14 3.35 3.26
WilliamHill 2.10 3.30 3.30
Betfair 2.10 3.25 3.25
bet365 2.10 3.30 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leicester City v Middlesbrough: prediction and result

Leicester City hosted Middlesbrough in the Championship on Tuesday 4 November, and it finished 1–1.

Leicester City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 4, 1 points from a possible 12. They have scored 2 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Blackburn Rovers.

Middlesbrough are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 7 points from a possible 12. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Watford.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Leicester, 3.50 for the draw and 3.40 for Middlesbrough. The bookmakers make Leicester City favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Leicester City to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.15 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.35. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.