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Rotherham United v Burton Albion prediction

Tue 4 Nov, 19:45 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Rotherham United to win 43%
Rotherham 43% Draw 27% Burton 30%
Best price2.37 Ladbrokes Fair price2.32 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceRotherham United to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Rotherham United All games W W W
2–1 at NHT 1–0 v LEY 1–0 at BRS
Burton Albion All games W L W
3–0 v BOL 0–1 v PTU 1–0 at AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 0 of Rotherham United's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Burton Albion's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerRotherhamDrawBurton
Ladbrokes 2.37 3.30 3.00
Marathonbet 2.32 3.32 2.95
bet365 2.30 3.60 2.80
WilliamHill 2.30 3.30 2.90
Betfair 2.25 3.00 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Rotherham United v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Rotherham United hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Tuesday 4 November, and it finished 2–2.

Rotherham United are in strong form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 3, 9 points from a possible 9. They have scored 4 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Barnsley.

Burton Albion are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 6 points from a possible 9. They have scored 4 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.37 for Rotherham, 3.60 for the draw and 3.00 for Burton. The bookmakers make Rotherham United favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Rotherham United to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.37 at Ladbrokes, is longer than our fair price of 2.32, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.