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Bolton Wanderers v Port Vale prediction

Sat 8 Nov, 15:00 League One Full time 4–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bolton Wanderers to win 50%
Bolton 50% Draw 26% Port Vale 24%
Best price1.80 Ladbrokes Fair price1.99 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bolton Wanderers All games L W W
0–3 at BRA 2–1 at HDD 1–0 v CDF
Port Vale All games D L L
1–1 at AWM 0–1 at WIG 0–3 v STO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 0 of Bolton Wanderers's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Port Vale's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBoltonDrawPort Vale
Ladbrokes 1.80 3.60 4.40
WilliamHill 1.75 3.50 4.50
Marathonbet 1.74 3.64 4.50
bet365 1.72 3.60 4.50
Betfair 1.67 3.50 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bolton Wanderers v Port Vale: prediction and result

Bolton Wanderers hosted Port Vale in the League One on Saturday 8 November and won 4–0.

Bolton Wanderers are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 6 points from a possible 9. They have scored 3 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Cardiff City.

Port Vale are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 3, 1 points from a possible 9. They have scored 1 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Stockport County.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.80 for Bolton, 3.64 for the draw and 4.75 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 1.80 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 1.99. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.