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Northampton Town v Mansfield Town prediction

Sat 8 Nov, 12:30 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Mansfield Town to win 40%
Northampton 33% Draw 28% Mansfield 40%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.53 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMansfield Town to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L W L L
1–2 v RTU 2–1 at DNR 0–1 at RDG 0–1 v LUT
Mansfield Town All games W D W
2–0 at LUT 1–1 v WIG 2–0 v PLA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 1 of Northampton Town's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Mansfield Town's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawMansfield
Ladbrokes 3.20 3.20 2.25
Marathonbet 3.15 3.20 2.26
WilliamHill 3.10 3.00 2.30
bet365 3.10 3.30 2.20
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Mansfield Town: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Mansfield Town in the League One on Saturday 8 November and won 2–1.

Northampton Town are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 4, 3 points from a possible 12. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Luton Town.

Mansfield Town are in strong form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 3, 7 points from a possible 9. They have scored 5 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Plymouth Argyle.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Northampton, 3.30 for the draw and 2.30 for Mansfield. The bookmakers make Mansfield Town favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Mansfield Town to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.53. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.