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Reading v Stevenage prediction

Thu 6 Nov, 20:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stevenage to win 36%
Reading 33% Draw 31% Stevenage 36%
Best price2.63 Betfair Fair price2.81 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStevenage to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games D L W D
1–1 at EXE 1–2 at CDF 1–0 v NHT 1–1 v DNR
Stevenage All games L D
0–1 at LNC 1–1 v BDC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 1 of Reading's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Stevenage's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawStevenage
Betfair 2.90 2.80 2.63
WilliamHill 2.90 2.90 2.60
Marathonbet 2.89 2.95 2.58
bet365 2.87 2.90 2.62
Ladbrokes 2.87 3.00 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Stevenage: prediction and result

Reading hosted Stevenage in the League One on Thursday 6 November and won 1–0.

Reading are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 5 points from a possible 12. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Doncaster Rovers.

Stevenage are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 1 points from a possible 6. They have scored 1 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Bradford City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Reading, 3.00 for the draw and 2.63 for Stevenage. The bookmakers see little between Stevenage and Reading here.

Our prediction: Stevenage to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.63 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.81. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.