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Birmingham City v Norwich City prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 Championship Full time 4–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Birmingham City to win 60%
Birmingham 60% Draw 23% Norwich 17%
Best price1.70 WilliamHill Fair price1.67 from our 60%

How we got to 60%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 57%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 64%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 60%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Birmingham City All games W L W W L
1–0 at PNE 0–1 at BSC 4–0 v PTM 4–0 v MLW 1–2 at MID
Norwich City All games L L L D L
0–1 at DRB 1–2 at SWA 0–2 v HUL 1–1 at SHF 1–2 v LEI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 1 of Birmingham City's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Norwich City's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBirminghamDrawNorwich
WilliamHill 1.70 3.70 4.80
bet365 1.66 3.70 5.00
Betfair 1.50 4.00 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Birmingham City v Norwich City: prediction and result

Birmingham City hosted Norwich City in the Championship on Saturday 22 November and won 4–1.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Middlesbrough.

Norwich City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Leicester City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.70 for Birmingham, 4.00 for the draw and 5.00 for Norwich. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 57% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 60% chance. The market puts it at 57% and our match model at 64%, and blending those with recent form gives 60%. The best price, 1.70 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.