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Leicester City v Stoke City prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Leicester City to win 45%
Leicester 45% Draw 27% Stoke 28%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.23 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLeicester City to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leicester City All games L L L D W
1–2 at HUL 0–1 at MLW 0–2 v BBR 1–1 v MID 2–1 at NOR
Stoke City All games L W W W L
0–2 at MLW 1–0 at PTM 5–1 v BSC 3–0 at OXF 0–1 v CVC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Leicester City's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Stoke City's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeicesterDrawStoke
WilliamHill 2.05 3.30 3.50
bet365 2.00 3.30 3.80
Betfair 1.90 3.50 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leicester City v Stoke City: prediction and result

Leicester City hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 22 November and won 2–1.

Leicester City are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Norwich City.

Stoke City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Coventry City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Leicester, 3.50 for the draw and 3.80 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Leicester City favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Leicester City to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.23. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.