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Charlton Athletic v Southampton prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–5
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Charlton Athletic to win 40%
Charlton 40% Draw 28% Southampton 32%
Best price2.80 WilliamHill Fair price2.51 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCharlton Athletic to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Charlton Athletic All games W D D W L
3–0 at IPS 1–1 at HUL 1–1 v SWA 1–0 v WBA 0–1 at WXH
Southampton All games L L L W W
1–3 at BSC 1–2 at BBR 0–2 v PNE 2–1 at QPR 3–1 v SHF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Charlton Athletic's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Southampton's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCharltonDrawSouthampton
WilliamHill 2.80 3.20 2.50
bet365 2.75 3.25 2.55
Betfair 2.60 3.00 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Charlton Athletic v Southampton: prediction and result

Charlton Athletic hosted Southampton in the Championship on Saturday 22 November, and Southampton won 1–5 away from home.

Charlton Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Wrexham.

Southampton are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Sheffield Wednesday.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Charlton, 3.25 for the draw and 2.55 for Southampton. The bookmakers see little between Southampton and Charlton Athletic here.

Our prediction: Charlton Athletic to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.80 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.51, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.