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Oxford United v Middlesbrough prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Middlesbrough to win 45%
Oxford 27% Draw 27% Middlesbrough 45%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.21 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Oxford United All games L W D L L
0–1 at WXH 2–1 at SHF 2–2 v MLW 0–3 v STK 1–2 at WBA
Middlesbrough All games W D L D W
1–0 at SHF 1–1 v WXH 0–3 at WAT 1–1 at LEI 2–1 v BRC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 1 of Oxford United's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Middlesbrough's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerOxfordDrawMiddlesbrough
bet365 3.70 3.25 2.00
WilliamHill 3.60 3.25 2.05
Betfair 3.25 3.00 2.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Oxford United v Middlesbrough: prediction and result

Oxford United hosted Middlesbrough in the Championship on Saturday 22 November, and it finished 1–1.

Oxford United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at West Bromwich Albion.

Middlesbrough are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Birmingham City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.70 for Oxford, 3.25 for the draw and 2.05 for Middlesbrough. The bookmakers make Middlesbrough favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.21. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.