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Exeter City v AFC Wimbledon prediction

Tue 9 Dec, 19:45 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Exeter City to win 43%
Exeter 43% Draw 28% AFC Wimbledon 29%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.33 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceExeter City to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Exeter City All games L W D L L
0–1 at STO 2–0 v PLA 1–1 v WIG 1–2 at LEY 0–1 at BDC
AFC Wimbledon All games W L L L D
2–1 at PLA 0–1 v BRA 0–5 at PTU 1–2 v WIG 3–3 at HDD

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Exeter City's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Wimbledon's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerExeterDrawAFC Wimbledon
WilliamHill 2.05 3.10 3.60
bet365 2.00 3.30 3.60
Betfair 1.90 3.00 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Exeter City v AFC Wimbledon: prediction and result

Exeter City hosted AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Tuesday 9 December and won 1–0.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Bradford City.

AFC Wimbledon are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw away at Huddersfield Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Exeter, 3.30 for the draw and 3.60 for AFC Wimbledon. The bookmakers make Exeter City favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Exeter City to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.33. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.