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Lincoln City v Barnsley prediction

Tue 9 Dec, 19:45 League One Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Lincoln City to win 45%
Lincoln 45% Draw 26% Barnsley 29%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.24 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLincoln City to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Lincoln City All games D L W L W
0–0 at BDC 0–3 at RTU 2–1 v DNR 2–3 at WYC 1–0 v PTV
Barnsley All games D L W W D
2–2 at BDC 0–1 v RTU 2–1 at DNR 5–0 v LUT 1–1 at STO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 1 of Lincoln City's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Barnsley's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLincolnDrawBarnsley
WilliamHill 2.00 3.40 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.40 3.40
bet365 2.00 3.50 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Lincoln City v Barnsley: prediction and result

Lincoln City hosted Barnsley in the League One on Tuesday 9 December and won 3–1.

Lincoln City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Port Vale.

Barnsley are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Stockport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Lincoln, 3.50 for the draw and 3.40 for Barnsley. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.24. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.