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Stevenage v Cardiff City prediction

Tue 9 Dec, 20:00 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 37%
Stevenage 34% Draw 28% Cardiff 37%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.67 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 34%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stevenage All games D L D W D
1–1 v BDC 0–1 at RDG 0–0 v DNR 1–0 at PTU 0–0 at WIG
Cardiff City All games L L W W W
0–1 at BOL 1–3 at BLK 3–1 at NHT 3–0 v MAN 3–2 v HDD

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 1 of Stevenage's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Cardiff City's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStevenageDrawCardiff
bet365 3.10 3.20 2.30
WilliamHill 3.00 3.00 2.30
Betfair 3.00 3.00 2.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stevenage v Cardiff City: prediction and result

Stevenage hosted Cardiff City in the League One on Tuesday 9 December, and Cardiff City won 0–1 away from home.

Stevenage are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Wigan Athletic.

Cardiff City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Huddersfield Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Stevenage, 3.20 for the draw and 2.30 for Cardiff. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 34%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.67. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.