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Leyton Orient v Luton Town prediction

Tue 9 Dec, 19:45 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Leyton Orient to win 38%
Leyton Orient 38% Draw 27% Luton 35%
Best price2.80 bet365 Fair price2.62 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLeyton Orient to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leyton Orient All games W L W D W
1–0 v LNC 1–4 at WYC 2–1 v EXE 1–1 v BLK 4–0 at BRA
Luton Town All games W D L W D
3–0 at STO 0–0 v RTU 0–5 at BRS 2–1 v HDD 1–1 v BOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Leyton Orient's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Luton Town's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeyton OrientDrawLuton
bet365 2.80 3.20 2.45
WilliamHill 2.80 3.10 2.45
Betfair 2.60 3.30 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leyton Orient v Luton Town: prediction and result

Leyton Orient hosted Luton Town in the League One on Tuesday 9 December, and it finished 1–1.

Leyton Orient are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win away at Burton Albion.

Luton Town are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Bolton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Leyton Orient, 3.30 for the draw and 2.45 for Luton. The bookmakers see little between Luton Town and Leyton Orient here.

Our prediction: Leyton Orient to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.80 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.62, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.