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AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town prediction

Sat 13 Dec, 12:30 League One Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Wimbledon to win 41%
AFC Wimbledon 41% Draw 28% Mansfield 31%
Best price2.40 WilliamHill Fair price2.46 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Wimbledon to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games L L L D L
0–1 v BRA 0–5 at PTU 1–2 v WIG 3–3 at HDD 0–1 at EXE
Mansfield Town All games W L L L L
2–0 v PLA 1–2 at NHT 1–3 v HDD 0–3 at CDF 0–1 v BOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Wimbledon's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Mansfield Town's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawMansfield
WilliamHill 2.40 3.10 2.90
bet365 2.37 3.30 2.87
Betfair 2.30 3.00 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Mansfield Town in the League One on Saturday 13 December, and it finished 0–0.

AFC Wimbledon are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Exeter City.

Mansfield Town are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Bolton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for AFC Wimbledon, 3.30 for the draw and 2.90 for Mansfield. The bookmakers make AFC Wimbledon favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Wimbledon to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.46. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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0–1 FT Wycombe Wanderers v Plymouth Argyle Wycombe Wanderers to win 57% 0–1 FT Mansfield Town v Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers to win 45% 3–1 FT Lincoln City v Barnsley Lincoln City to win 45% 1–0 FT Exeter City v AFC Wimbledon Exeter City to win 43% 1–1 FT Northampton Town v Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town to win 40% 1–1 FT Leyton Orient v Luton Town Leyton Orient to win 38% 0–2 FT Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County Doncaster Rovers to win 38% 1–2 FT Reading v Peterborough United Reading to win 43%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.