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Bolton Wanderers v Exeter City prediction

Sat 13 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bolton Wanderers to win 65%
Bolton 65% Draw 21% Exeter 15%
Best price1.40 WilliamHill Fair price1.55 from our 65%

How we got to 65%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 66%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 63%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 65%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bolton Wanderers All games W W D D W
1–0 v CDF 4–0 v PTV 0–0 v BDC 1–1 at LUT 1–0 at MAN
Exeter City All games W D L L W
2–0 v PLA 1–1 v WIG 1–2 at LEY 0–1 at BDC 1–0 v AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 0 of Bolton Wanderers's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Exeter City's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBoltonDrawExeter
WilliamHill 1.40 4.40 6.50
bet365 1.40 4.50 7.00
Betfair 1.35 4.60 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bolton Wanderers v Exeter City: prediction and result

Bolton Wanderers hosted Exeter City in the League One on Saturday 13 December and won 2–1.

Bolton Wanderers are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Mansfield Town.

Exeter City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.40 for Bolton, 4.60 for the draw and 7.00 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 66% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 65% chance. The market puts it at 66% and our match model at 63%, and blending those with recent form gives 65%. The best price, 1.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.55. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

All League One picks that week →
0–1 FT Wycombe Wanderers v Plymouth Argyle Wycombe Wanderers to win 57% 0–1 FT Mansfield Town v Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers to win 45% 3–1 FT Lincoln City v Barnsley Lincoln City to win 45% 1–0 FT Exeter City v AFC Wimbledon Exeter City to win 43% 1–1 FT Northampton Town v Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town to win 40% 1–1 FT Leyton Orient v Luton Town Leyton Orient to win 38% 0–2 FT Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County Doncaster Rovers to win 38% 1–2 FT Reading v Peterborough United Reading to win 43%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.