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Burnley v Fulham prediction

Sat 13 Dec, 17:30 Premier League Full time 2–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Fulham to win 47%
Burnley 26% Draw 27% Fulham 47%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.12 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceFulham to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games L L L L L
2–3 at WHU 0–2 v CHE 1–3 at BRE 0–1 v CRY 1–2 at NEW
Fulham All games L W W L L
0–2 at EVE 1–0 v SUN 2–1 at TOT 4–5 v MCI 1–2 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 0 of Burnley's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Fulham's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawFulham
Betfair 4.00 3.25 1.85
bet365 3.90 3.50 1.95
WilliamHill 3.75 3.30 2.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Fulham: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday 13 December, and Fulham won 2–3 away from home.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Newcastle United.

Fulham are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.00 for Burnley, 3.50 for the draw and 2.00 for Fulham. The bookmakers make Fulham favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Fulham to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.12. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.