How we got to 49%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
West Ham United
All games
W
D
L
D
D
Aston Villa
All games
W
W
W
W
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersWest Ham United v Aston Villa: prediction and result
West Ham United hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday 14 December, and Aston Villa won 2–3 away from home.
West Ham United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Brighton & Hove Albion.
Aston Villa are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Arsenal.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.30 for West Ham, 3.50 for the draw and 2.20 for Aston Villa. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.06, so there is value in it. The pick won.
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