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West Ham United v Aston Villa prediction

Sun 14 Dec, 14:00 Premier League Full time 2–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Aston Villa to win 49%
West Ham 27% Draw 25% Aston Villa 49%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.06 from our 49%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAston Villa to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
West Ham United All games W D L D D
3–2 v BUR 2–2 at BOU 0–2 v LIV 1–1 at MUN 1–1 at BHA
Aston Villa All games W W W W W
4–0 v BOU 2–1 at LEE 1–0 v WOL 4–3 at BHA 2–1 v ARS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 2 of West Ham United's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWest HamDrawAston Villa
WilliamHill 3.30 3.30 2.20
bet365 3.30 3.50 2.15
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

West Ham United v Aston Villa: prediction and result

West Ham United hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday 14 December, and Aston Villa won 2–3 away from home.

West Ham United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Aston Villa are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Arsenal.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.30 for West Ham, 3.50 for the draw and 2.20 for Aston Villa. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.06, so there is value in it. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.