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Brentford v Leeds United prediction

Sun 14 Dec, 16:30 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Brentford to win 45%
Brentford 45% Draw 27% Leeds 28%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.24 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrentford to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brentford All games W L W L L
3–1 v NEW 1–2 at BHA 3–1 v BUR 0–2 at ARS 0–2 at TOT
Leeds United All games L L L W D
1–3 at NFO 1–2 v AVL 2–3 at MCI 3–1 v CHE 3–3 v LIV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 3 of Brentford's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Leeds United's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrentfordDrawLeeds
bet365 2.15 3.30 3.60
WilliamHill 2.10 3.30 3.50
Betfair 2.00 3.00 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brentford v Leeds United: prediction and result

Brentford hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Sunday 14 December, and it finished 1–1.

Brentford are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Tottenham Hotspur.

Leeds United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw at home to Liverpool.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Brentford, 3.30 for the draw and 3.60 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Brentford favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brentford to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.24. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.