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Luton Town v Port Vale prediction

Sat 13 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Luton Town to win 52%
Luton 52% Draw 26% Port Vale 21%
Best price1.70 WilliamHill Fair price1.91 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games D L W D D
0–0 v RTU 0–5 at BRS 2–1 v HDD 1–1 v BOL 1–1 at LEY
Port Vale All games L L D L L
0–3 v STO 0–4 at BOL 0–0 v WYC 0–1 v PLA 0–1 at LNC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Luton Town's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Port Vale's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawPort Vale
WilliamHill 1.70 3.50 4.80
Betfair 1.70 3.25 4.50
bet365 1.66 3.60 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Port Vale: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Port Vale in the League One on Saturday 13 December, and it finished 2–2.

Luton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Leyton Orient.

Port Vale are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 0 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Lincoln City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.70 for Luton, 3.60 for the draw and 5.00 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.70 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.91. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.