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Plymouth Argyle v Rotherham United prediction

Sat 13 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Plymouth Argyle to win 42%
Plymouth 42% Draw 27% Rotherham 30%
Best price2.15 WilliamHill Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games L W L L W
1–3 at HDD 1–0 at PTV 0–3 v NHT 0–1 v BDC 1–0 at WYC
Rotherham United All games W D D D L
3–0 v LNC 0–0 at LUT 1–1 at RDG 1–1 v WYC 0–3 v BLK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 1 of Plymouth Argyle's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Rotherham United's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawRotherham
WilliamHill 2.15 3.00 3.50
bet365 2.10 3.25 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.00 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Rotherham United: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Rotherham United in the League One on Saturday 13 December and won 1–0.

Plymouth Argyle are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Wycombe Wanderers.

Rotherham United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Blackpool.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Plymouth, 3.25 for the draw and 3.50 for Rotherham. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.15 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.37. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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0–1 FT Wycombe Wanderers v Plymouth Argyle Wycombe Wanderers to win 57% 0–1 FT Mansfield Town v Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers to win 45% 3–1 FT Lincoln City v Barnsley Lincoln City to win 45% 1–0 FT Exeter City v AFC Wimbledon Exeter City to win 43% 1–1 FT Northampton Town v Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town to win 40% 1–1 FT Leyton Orient v Luton Town Leyton Orient to win 38% 0–2 FT Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County Doncaster Rovers to win 38% 1–2 FT Reading v Peterborough United Reading to win 43%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.