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Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth prediction

Mon 15 Dec, 20:00 Premier League Full time 4–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester United to win 55%
Man United 55% Draw 23% AFC Bournemouth 22%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price1.82 from our 55%

How we got to 55%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester United to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United All games D L W D W
2–2 at TOT 0–1 v EVE 2–1 at CRY 1–1 v WHU 4–1 at WOL
AFC Bournemouth All games L D L L D
0–4 at AVL 2–2 v WHU 2–3 at SUN 0–1 v EVE 0–0 v CHE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 2 of Manchester United's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Bournemouth's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan UnitedDrawAFC Bournemouth
WilliamHill 1.75 4.00 4.00
bet365 1.75 4.20 4.10
Betfair 1.70 3.75 3.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester United v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result

Manchester United hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Monday 15 December, and it finished 4–4.

Manchester United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

AFC Bournemouth are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Chelsea.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Man United, 4.20 for the draw and 4.10 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers make Manchester United favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 55% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 55%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.82. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.