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Barrow v Cheltenham Town prediction

Fri 19 Dec, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Barrow to win 45%
Barrow 45% Draw 27% Cheltenham 28%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.23 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarrow to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barrow All games L L D L D
1–2 at BMY 0–2 v CMU 2–2 at NPT 0–3 v TRR 2–2 at GLG
Cheltenham Town All games L W L W D
2–3 at TRR 1–0 v BRR 0–2 at CLU 1–0 at SWI 1–1 v HAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Barrow's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Cheltenham Town's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarrowDrawCheltenham
WilliamHill 2.05 3.20 3.40
bet365 2.05 3.40 3.60
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barrow v Cheltenham Town: prediction and result

Barrow hosted Cheltenham Town in the League Two on Friday 19 December, and Cheltenham Town won 1–2 away from home.

Barrow are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Gillingham.

Cheltenham Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Harrogate Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Barrow, 3.40 for the draw and 3.80 for Cheltenham. The bookmakers make Barrow favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barrow to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.23. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.