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Colchester United v Newport County prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 15:00 League Two Full time 4–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Colchester United to win 61%
Colchester 61% Draw 22% Newport 17%
Best price1.44 WilliamHill Fair price1.64 from our 61%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 65%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 61%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Colchester United All games W W W D L
2–0 at WSL 3–1 at NOT 2–0 v CTT 0–0 v GLG 3–4 at SAL
Newport County All games L L D D L
0–1 at SHT 0–3 at OAT 2–2 v BRW 2–2 at CAX 0–2 v FLT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 1 of Colchester United's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Newport County's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerColchesterDrawNewport
WilliamHill 1.44 4.50 6.00
Betfair 1.44 4.60 6.50
bet365 1.42 4.50 6.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Colchester United v Newport County: prediction and result

Colchester United hosted Newport County in the League Two on Saturday 20 December and won 4–1.

Colchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–4 defeat away at Salford City.

Newport County are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Fleetwood Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.44 for Colchester, 4.60 for the draw and 6.50 for Newport. The bookmakers make Colchester United favourites, at about 65% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 61% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 61%. The best price, 1.44 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.64. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.