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Swindon Town v Crawley Town prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Swindon Town to win 56%
Swindon 56% Draw 23% Crawley 21%
Best price1.70 WilliamHill Fair price1.80 from our 56%

How we got to 56%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 55%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 56%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games D D W L W
1–1 at FLT 2–2 v GBT 2–1 at CST 0–1 v CTT 3–0 at BRR
Crawley Town All games D D L L D
2–2 at GLG 1–1 v ACC 3–4 at SAL 1–3 at BMY 2–2 v OAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 3 of Swindon Town's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Crawley Town's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawCrawley
WilliamHill 1.70 3.90 4.20
bet365 1.70 4.00 4.33
Betfair 1.67 4.00 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Crawley Town: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Crawley Town in the League Two on Saturday 20 December and won 1–0.

Swindon Town are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Bristol Rovers.

Crawley Town are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Oldham Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.70 for Swindon, 4.00 for the draw and 4.33 for Crawley. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 56% chance. The market puts it at 55% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 56%. The best price, 1.70 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.80. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.