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Crewe Alexandra v Bristol Rovers prediction

Fri 19 Dec, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Crewe Alexandra to win 49%
Crewe 49% Draw 26% Bristol 24%
Best price1.95 Betfair Fair price2.03 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrewe Alexandra to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crewe Alexandra All games D D L D W
0–0 at OAT 3–3 v CST 1–2 at CMU 2–2 v NPT 4–1 at TRR
Bristol Rovers All games L L L L L
1–3 at ACC 0–1 at CTT 0–1 v NOT 0–4 at BNT 0–3 v SWI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Bristol Rovers's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCreweDrawBristol
Betfair 1.95 3.40 4.00
WilliamHill 1.91 3.30 3.80
bet365 1.90 3.40 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crewe Alexandra v Bristol Rovers: prediction and result

Crewe Alexandra hosted Bristol Rovers in the League Two on Friday 19 December, and it finished 1–1.

Crewe Alexandra are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win away at Tranmere Rovers.

Bristol Rovers are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Swindon Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Crewe, 3.40 for the draw and 4.00 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Crewe Alexandra favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.95 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.03. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.