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AFC Wimbledon v Stevenage prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stevenage to win 36%
AFC Wimbledon 32% Draw 31% Stevenage 36%
Best price2.62 WilliamHill Fair price2.76 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStevenage to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games L D L D L
1–2 v WIG 3–3 at HDD 0–1 at EXE 0–0 v MAN 1–3 at NHT
Stevenage All games W D L W D
1–0 at PTU 0–0 at WIG 0–1 v CDF 3–1 at STO 2–2 v BRA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Wimbledon's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Stevenage's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
Betfair 3.00 2.75 2.60
bet365 3.00 2.80 2.62
WilliamHill 2.90 2.80 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Stevenage: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Stevenage in the League One on Friday 26 December, and it finished 0–0.

AFC Wimbledon are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Northampton Town.

Stevenage are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Burton Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for AFC Wimbledon, 2.80 for the draw and 2.62 for Stevenage. The bookmakers see little between Stevenage and the draw here.

Our prediction: Stevenage to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.76. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.