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Chesterfield v Notts County prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chesterfield to win 37%
Chesterfield 37% Draw 28% Notts 35%
Best price2.70 bet365 Fair price2.70 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chesterfield All games D L D W W
3–3 at CAX 1–2 v SWI 1–1 at CMU 3–1 v BNT 1–0 at SHT
Notts County All games L W W W D
1–3 v CLU 1–0 at BRR 3–2 v MKD 2–0 at GBT 0–0 v WSL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 4 of Chesterfield's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Notts County's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChesterfieldDrawNotts
bet365 2.70 3.30 2.50
Betfair 2.63 3.30 2.63
WilliamHill 2.62 3.30 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chesterfield v Notts County: prediction and result

Chesterfield hosted Notts County in the League Two on Friday 26 December and won 2–0.

Chesterfield are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Shrewsbury Town.

Notts County are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Walsall.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Chesterfield, 3.30 for the draw and 2.63 for Notts. The bookmakers see little between Notts County and Chesterfield here.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.70 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.70. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.