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Plymouth Argyle v Reading prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 1–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Plymouth Argyle to win 38%
Plymouth 38% Draw 26% Reading 36%
Best price2.70 Betfair Fair price2.63 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games L L W W W
0–3 v NHT 0–1 v BDC 1–0 at WYC 1–0 v RTU 5–1 at DNR
Reading All games D W L L W
1–1 v RTU 3–0 at BLK 1–2 v PTU 0–2 at BDC 3–2 v LUT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 1 of Plymouth Argyle's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Reading's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawReading
Betfair 2.70 3.40 2.50
WilliamHill 2.62 3.25 2.50
bet365 2.55 3.40 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Reading: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Reading in the League One on Friday 26 December, and Reading won 1–4 away from home.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 5–1 win away at Doncaster Rovers.

Reading are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Luton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Plymouth, 3.40 for the draw and 2.50 for Reading. The bookmakers see little between Reading and Plymouth Argyle here.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.70 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.63, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.