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Barnsley v Lincoln City prediction

Mon 29 Dec, 19:45 League One Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Lincoln City to win 38%
Barnsley 35% Draw 27% Lincoln 38%
Best price2.70 bet365 Fair price2.64 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLincoln City to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnsley All games D L W L L
1–1 at STO 1–3 at LNC 3–2 v LEY 0–3 at EXE 2–3 v MAN
Lincoln City All games W W D W W
1–0 v PTV 3–1 v BRS 2–2 at BLK 2–1 v CDF 2–1 at STO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 2 of Barnsley's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Lincoln City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnsleyDrawLincoln
Betfair 2.70 3.40 2.55
WilliamHill 2.60 3.30 2.60
bet365 2.55 3.25 2.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnsley v Lincoln City: prediction and result

Barnsley hosted Lincoln City in the League One on Monday 29 December, and Lincoln City won 0–2 away from home.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat at home to Mansfield Town.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Stockport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Barnsley, 3.40 for the draw and 2.70 for Lincoln. The bookmakers see little between Barnsley and Lincoln City here.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.70 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.64, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.