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Bolton Wanderers v Mansfield Town prediction

Mon 29 Dec, 19:45 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bolton Wanderers to win 66%
Bolton 66% Draw 21% Mansfield 13%
Best price1.38 bet365 Fair price1.52 from our 66%

How we got to 66%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 68%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 63%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 66%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bolton Wanderers All games D W W L W
1–1 at LUT 1–0 at MAN 2–1 v EXE 1–2 at WYC 2–1 v RTU
Mansfield Town All games L L D L W
0–3 at CDF 0–1 v BOL 0–0 at AWM 1–2 v STO 3–2 at BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Bolton Wanderers's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Mansfield Town's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBoltonDrawMansfield
bet365 1.38 4.50 8.00
WilliamHill 1.36 4.60 7.50
Betfair 1.36 4.75 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bolton Wanderers v Mansfield Town: prediction and result

Bolton Wanderers hosted Mansfield Town in the League One on Monday 29 December, and Mansfield Town won 0–1 away from home.

Bolton Wanderers are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Rotherham United.

Mansfield Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win away at Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.38 for Bolton, 4.75 for the draw and 8.00 for Mansfield. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 68% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 66% chance. The market puts it at 68% and our match model at 63%, and blending those with recent form gives 66%. The best price, 1.38 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.52. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

All League One picks that week →
2–1 FT Bolton Wanderers v Rotherham United Bolton Wanderers to win 66% 1–0 FT Cardiff City v Exeter City Cardiff City to win 58% 5–0 FT Huddersfield Town v Port Vale Huddersfield Town to win 51% 2–3 FT Barnsley v Mansfield Town Barnsley to win 46% 2–1 FT Bradford City v Wigan Athletic Bradford City to win 45% 1–0 FT Peterborough United v Leyton Orient Peterborough United to win 44% 4–0 FT Luton Town v Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town to win 43% 5–1 FT Burton Albion v Northampton Town Burton Albion to win 41%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.