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Cardiff City v Stevenage prediction

Mon 29 Dec, 19:45 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 48%
Cardiff 48% Draw 27% Stevenage 25%
Best price1.83 WilliamHill Fair price2.07 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cardiff City All games W W W L W
3–2 v HDD 1–0 at STV 4–3 v DNR 1–2 at LNC 1–0 v EXE
Stevenage All games D L W D D
0–0 at WIG 0–1 v CDF 3–1 at STO 2–2 v BRA 0–0 at AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Cardiff City's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Stevenage's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCardiffDrawStevenage
WilliamHill 1.83 3.30 4.40
Betfair 1.80 3.60 4.50
bet365 1.75 3.50 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cardiff City v Stevenage: prediction and result

Cardiff City hosted Stevenage in the League One on Monday 29 December and won 2–1.

Cardiff City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Exeter City.

Stevenage are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for Cardiff, 3.60 for the draw and 4.50 for Stevenage. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.83 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.07. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.