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Chesterfield v Cambridge United prediction

Mon 29 Dec, 19:45 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chesterfield to win 40%
Chesterfield 40% Draw 29% Cambridge 31%
Best price2.55 Betfair Fair price2.49 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chesterfield All games L D W W W
1–2 v SWI 1–1 at CMU 3–1 v BNT 1–0 at SHT 2–0 v NOT
Cambridge United All games W D D W D
2–1 v CAX 1–1 v CST 1–1 at MKD 2–0 v ACC 1–1 at GLG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 4 of Chesterfield's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Cambridge United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChesterfieldDrawCambridge
Betfair 2.55 3.10 2.88
bet365 2.55 3.20 2.70
WilliamHill 2.50 3.10 2.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chesterfield v Cambridge United: prediction and result

Chesterfield hosted Cambridge United in the League Two on Monday 29 December, and Cambridge United won 0–1 away from home.

Chesterfield are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Notts County.

Cambridge United are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Gillingham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.55 for Chesterfield, 3.20 for the draw and 2.88 for Cambridge. The bookmakers see little between Chesterfield and Cambridge United here.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.55 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.49, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.