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Milton Keynes Dons v Notts County prediction

Mon 29 Dec, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Milton Keynes Dons to win 48%
Milton Keynes 48% Draw 26% Notts 26%
Best price1.85 WilliamHill Fair price2.08 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 51%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Milton Keynes Dons All games W L D W W
2–1 v FLT 2–3 at NOT 1–1 v CMU 4–0 at HAT 1–0 v SWI
Notts County All games W W W D L
1–0 at BRR 3–2 v MKD 2–0 at GBT 0–0 v WSL 0–2 at CST

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Notts County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMilton KeynesDrawNotts
WilliamHill 1.85 3.50 4.00
Betfair 1.83 3.60 4.33
bet365 1.83 3.60 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Milton Keynes Dons v Notts County: prediction and result

Milton Keynes Dons hosted Notts County in the League Two on Monday 29 December, and it finished 1–1.

Milton Keynes Dons are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Swindon Town.

Notts County are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Chesterfield.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Milton Keynes, 3.60 for the draw and 4.33 for Notts. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 51% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.08. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.