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Newport County v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Mon 29 Dec, 19:30 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Crewe Alexandra to win 46%
Newport 27% Draw 27% Crewe 46%
Best price2.15 WilliamHill Fair price2.16 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrewe Alexandra to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newport County All games D D L L D
2–2 v BRW 2–2 at CAX 0–2 v FLT 1–4 at CLU 0–0 v BNT
Crewe Alexandra All games L D W D L
1–2 at CMU 2–2 v NPT 4–1 at TRR 1–1 v BRR 0–1 at WSL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Newport County's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewportDrawCrewe
Betfair 3.30 3.25 2.10
bet365 3.30 3.25 2.15
WilliamHill 3.25 3.30 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newport County v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Newport County hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Monday 29 December and won 2–0.

Newport County are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Barnet.

Crewe Alexandra are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Walsall.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.30 for Newport, 3.30 for the draw and 2.15 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Crewe Alexandra favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.15 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.16. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.