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Barnet v Crawley Town prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Barnet to win 57%
Barnet 57% Draw 23% Crawley 20%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.76 from our 57%

How we got to 57%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnet to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnet All games W L L D W
4–0 v BRR 1–3 at CST 1–3 v SAL 0–0 at NPT 2–0 at BRR
Crawley Town All games L D L D L
1–3 at BMY 2–2 v OAT 0–1 at SWI 1–1 v CLU 1–3 v BMY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 3 of Barnet's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Crawley Town's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnetDrawCrawley
WilliamHill 1.62 4.00 4.80
Betfair 1.62 4.00 5.00
bet365 1.61 4.00 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnet v Crawley Town: prediction and result

Barnet hosted Crawley Town in the League Two on Thursday 1 January and won 2–1.

Barnet are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Bristol Rovers.

Crawley Town are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Bromley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.62 for Barnet, 4.00 for the draw and 5.00 for Crawley. The bookmakers make Barnet favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnet to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.76. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.