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Crewe Alexandra v Cheltenham Town prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 League Two Full time 4–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Crewe Alexandra to win 47%
Crewe 47% Draw 26% Cheltenham 27%
Best price1.85 WilliamHill Fair price2.12 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrewe Alexandra to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crewe Alexandra All games D W D L L
2–2 v NPT 4–1 at TRR 1–1 v BRR 0–1 at WSL 0–2 at NPT
Cheltenham Town All games W D W W L
1–0 at SWI 1–1 v HAT 2–1 at BRW 3–1 v SHT 0–2 v SWI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 5 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Cheltenham Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCreweDrawCheltenham
WilliamHill 1.85 3.40 3.90
Betfair 1.85 3.70 4.20
bet365 1.85 3.50 3.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crewe Alexandra v Cheltenham Town: prediction and result

Crewe Alexandra hosted Cheltenham Town in the League Two on Thursday 1 January and won 4–1.

Crewe Alexandra are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Newport County.

Cheltenham Town are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Swindon Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Crewe, 3.70 for the draw and 4.20 for Cheltenham. The bookmakers make Crewe Alexandra favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.12. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.