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Notts County v Accrington Stanley prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Notts County to win 52%
Notts 52% Draw 26% Accrington 22%
Best price1.80 WilliamHill Fair price1.91 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games W W D L D
3–2 v MKD 2–0 at GBT 0–0 v WSL 0–2 at CST 1–1 at MKD
Accrington Stanley All games W L L W W
2–0 at HAT 0–1 v BMY 0–2 at CMU 2–1 v BRW 1–0 v HAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Notts County's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Accrington Stanley's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawAccrington
WilliamHill 1.80 3.50 4.00
bet365 1.75 3.60 4.50
Betfair 1.75 3.60 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Accrington Stanley: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Accrington Stanley in the League Two on Thursday 1 January, and Accrington Stanley won 0–1 away from home.

Notts County are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Milton Keynes Dons.

Accrington Stanley are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Harrogate Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.80 for Notts, 3.60 for the draw and 4.50 for Accrington. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.80 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.91. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.