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Swindon Town v Gillingham prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Swindon Town to win 45%
Swindon 45% Draw 28% Gillingham 27%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.20 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games L W W L W
0–1 v CTT 3–0 at BRR 1–0 v CRT 0–1 at MKD 2–0 at CTT
Gillingham All games D D L D D
0–0 at CLU 2–2 v BRW 1–2 at FLT 1–1 v CMU 1–1 v CLU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 3 of Swindon Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Gillingham's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawGillingham
WilliamHill 2.10 3.25 3.30
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.40
bet365 2.10 3.25 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Gillingham: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Gillingham in the League Two on Thursday 1 January and won 2–0.

Swindon Town are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Cheltenham Town.

Gillingham are in mixed form: 0 won, 4 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Colchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Swindon, 3.40 for the draw and 3.50 for Gillingham. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.