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Reading v Burton Albion prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Reading to win 46%
Reading 46% Draw 28% Burton 26%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.19 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceReading to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games L L W W D
1–2 v PTU 0–2 at BDC 3–2 v LUT 4–1 at PLA 1–1 at PTU
Burton Albion All games L D D W L
0–1 at WIG 0–0 v WYC 2–2 at STV 5–1 v NHT 0–2 v WIG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 4 of Reading's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Burton Albion's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawBurton
WilliamHill 1.91 3.30 3.90
Betfair 1.85 3.40 4.00
bet365 1.85 3.40 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Reading hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Thursday 1 January and won 2–0.

Reading are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Peterborough United.

Burton Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Wigan Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.91 for Reading, 3.40 for the draw and 4.20 for Burton. The bookmakers make Reading favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Reading to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.19. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.