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Stevenage v Plymouth Argyle prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stevenage to win 45%
Stevenage 45% Draw 27% Plymouth 27%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.20 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStevenage to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stevenage All games L W D D L
0–1 v CDF 3–1 at STO 2–2 v BRA 0–0 at AWM 1–2 at CDF
Plymouth Argyle All games W W W L D
1–0 at WYC 1–0 v RTU 5–1 at DNR 1–4 v RDG 1–1 v WYC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Stevenage's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStevenageDrawPlymouth
WilliamHill 2.05 3.20 3.60
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.75
bet365 2.00 3.30 3.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stevenage v Plymouth Argyle: prediction and result

Stevenage hosted Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Thursday 1 January, and it finished 1–1.

Stevenage are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Cardiff City.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Wycombe Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Stevenage, 3.30 for the draw and 3.75 for Plymouth. The bookmakers make Stevenage favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stevenage to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.