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Wigan Athletic v Barnsley prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Wigan Athletic to win 40%
Wigan 40% Draw 28% Barnsley 32%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.51 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWigan Athletic to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wigan Athletic All games W D L L W
1–0 v BRA 1–1 at HDD 0–2 v BLK 1–2 at BDC 2–0 at BRA
Barnsley All games L W L L L
1–3 at LNC 3–2 v LEY 0–3 at EXE 2–3 v MAN 0–2 v LNC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 0 of Wigan Athletic's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Barnsley's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWiganDrawBarnsley
WilliamHill 2.30 3.20 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.30 2.90
bet365 2.30 3.20 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wigan Athletic v Barnsley: prediction and result

Wigan Athletic hosted Barnsley in the League One on Thursday 1 January, and it finished 1–1.

Wigan Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Burton Albion.

Barnsley are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Lincoln City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Wigan, 3.30 for the draw and 3.00 for Barnsley. The bookmakers make Wigan Athletic favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Wigan Athletic to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.51. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.