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Swansea City v West Bromwich Albion prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Swansea City to win 37%
Swansea 37% Draw 28% West Bromwich 35%
Best price3.25 bet365 Fair price2.74 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 30%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwansea City to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swansea City All games W L W L W
1–0 v PTM 1–2 at STK 2–1 v WXH 0–1 at CVC 1–0 at OXF
West Bromwich Albion All games L W L L W
2–3 at SOU 2–0 v SHU 0–1 at HUL 1–2 v BSC 2–1 v QPR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Swansea City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of West Bromwich Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwanseaDrawWest Bromwich
bet365 3.25 3.10 2.30
Betfair 3.10 3.10 2.38
WilliamHill 3.00 3.00 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swansea City v West Bromwich Albion: prediction and result

Swansea City hosted West Bromwich Albion in the Championship on Thursday 1 January and won 1–0.

Swansea City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Oxford United.

West Bromwich Albion are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Queens Park Rangers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.25 for Swansea, 3.10 for the draw and 2.40 for West Bromwich. The bookmakers make West Bromwich Albion favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swansea City to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 30% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 3.25 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.74, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.