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Birmingham City v Coventry City prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 12:00 Championship Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Birmingham City to win 42%
Birmingham 42% Draw 27% Coventry 31%
Best price2.62 WilliamHill Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Birmingham City All games D L D D L
1–1 v CHA 0–3 at SHU 1–1 v DRB 1–1 v SOU 0–3 at WAT
Coventry City All games W D W L D
1–0 v BSC 1–1 at SOU 1–0 v SWA 0–2 v IPS 1–1 at CHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 5 of Birmingham City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Coventry City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBirminghamDrawCoventry
WilliamHill 2.62 3.30 2.50
bet365 2.62 3.40 2.62
Betfair 2.60 3.30 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Birmingham City v Coventry City: prediction and result

Birmingham City hosted Coventry City in the Championship on Sunday 4 January and won 3–2.

Birmingham City are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Watford.

Coventry City are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Charlton Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.62 for Birmingham, 3.40 for the draw and 2.62 for Coventry. The bookmakers see little between Birmingham City and Coventry City here.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.62 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.37, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.