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Bolton Wanderers v Northampton Town prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 12:00 League One Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bolton Wanderers to win 67%
Bolton 67% Draw 20% Northampton 12%
Best price1.40 bet365 Fair price1.48 from our 67%

How we got to 67%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 68%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 67%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 67%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bolton Wanderers All games W L W L D
2–1 v EXE 1–2 at WYC 2–1 v RTU 0–1 v MAN 1–1 at DNR
Northampton Town All games L W L L D
1–2 at PTU 3–1 v AWM 1–5 at BRA 0–2 at HDD 0–0 v STO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 2 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Northampton Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBoltonDrawNorthampton
bet365 1.40 4.20 8.50
WilliamHill 1.36 4.40 7.50
Betfair 1.33 4.50 8.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bolton Wanderers v Northampton Town: prediction and result

Bolton Wanderers hosted Northampton Town in the League One on Sunday 4 January, and it finished 0–0.

Bolton Wanderers are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Doncaster Rovers.

Northampton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Stockport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.40 for Bolton, 4.50 for the draw and 8.50 for Northampton. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 68% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 67% chance. The market puts it at 68% and our match model at 67%, and blending those with recent form gives 67%. The best price, 1.40 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.48. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

All League One picks that week →
0–0 FT Northampton Town v Stockport County Stockport County to win 50% 1–1 FT Doncaster Rovers v Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers to win 47% 2–0 FT Reading v Burton Albion Reading to win 46% 1–1 FT Stevenage v Plymouth Argyle Stevenage to win 45% 1–3 FT Leyton Orient v AFC Wimbledon Leyton Orient to win 45% 0–2 FT Rotherham United v Peterborough United Peterborough United to win 41% 1–1 FT Lincoln City v Huddersfield Town Lincoln City to win 40% 1–1 FT Wigan Athletic v Barnsley Wigan Athletic to win 40%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.