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Cardiff City v Wigan Athletic prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 55%
Cardiff 55% Draw 25% Wigan 20%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.81 from our 55%

How we got to 55%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cardiff City All games W L W W D
4–3 v DNR 1–2 at LNC 1–0 v EXE 2–1 v STV 1–1 at WYC
Wigan Athletic All games D L L W D
1–1 at HDD 0–2 v BLK 1–2 at BDC 2–0 at BRA 1–1 v BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 4 of Cardiff City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Wigan Athletic's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCardiffDrawWigan
WilliamHill 1.62 3.70 5.00
bet365 1.60 3.90 5.50
Betfair 1.55 3.90 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cardiff City v Wigan Athletic: prediction and result

Cardiff City hosted Wigan Athletic in the League One on Sunday 4 January and won 1–0.

Cardiff City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Wycombe Wanderers.

Wigan Athletic are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.62 for Cardiff, 3.90 for the draw and 5.50 for Wigan. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 55% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 55%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.81. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.